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Pharmacy

Spatiotemporal analysis of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Palestine and foresight study by projections modelling until 2060 based on climate change prediction

On ( 9 Jun 2022) ,  (Prof. Dr. Ahmad Amro and Dr. Omar Hamarsheh ) published a new study in (PLOS ONE) titled (Spatiotemporal analysis of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Palestine and foresight study by projections modelling until 2060 based on climate change prediction). The article aimed to (investigate eco-epidemiological parameters and spatiotemporal projections and clustering of cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) in Palestine over a 30-years period from 1990 through 2020. Our study investigated demographic characteristics of reported patients by the Palestinian Ministry of Health (PMoH), CL prevalence in the Palestinian population, geographical and seasonal distribution, distribution of cases by age and gender. Furthermore, possible factors associated with CL transmission and distribution are discussed. Moreover, we investigated the spatiotemporal distribution of CL in a future projection to shed more light on the expansion potential of the disease in Palestine until 2060 based on scenarios of climate change that influence the occurrence and density of the sand fly). The results of this study demonstrated that(the future projection of CL in Palestine until 2060 show a tendency of increasing incidence in the north western parts of the West Bank, disappearance from Jericho and Tubas throughout the Jordan Vally, and emergence of new CL endemic foci in the Gaza Strip. These results should be considered to implement effective control and surveillance systems

to counteract spatial expansion of CL vectors). For more information about the study, please contact the main author at (Prof. Dr. Ahmad Amro, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.) or the scientific research office at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

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